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Market Signal: Military Space Supply Chain

Who supplies Next Gen OPIR? Inside the Space Force's missile-warning supply chain

Published September 14, 2026 / Next Gen OPIR supplier analysis, FY2021-FY2025

The Space Force's next generation of missile-warning satellites is moving toward launch.

Lockheed Martin says its two Next Gen OPIR geosynchronous satellites will be available for launch in 2026 and 2027. Separately, BAE Systems delivered flight hardware in May 2026 for the first Polar satellite, which is scheduled to launch in September 2028.

The Polar program's future is contested. The Space Force proposed terminating it in its FY2027 budget request, while the House-passed defense authorization bill would require both planned satellites to proceed.

Next Gen OPIR is intended to augment and ultimately replace the Space Based Infrared System, or SBIRS. But the transition is not simply moving the existing supply chain onto a new satellite.

411

Next Gen OPIR supplier sites identified

168

SBIRS supplier sites identified

84

supplier sites visible on both programs

327

Next Gen OPIR sites not visible in same-period SBIRS records

The program is moving toward launch

Geosynchronous orbit
2026 / 2027

Lockheed Martin's stated launch-availability dates for the two GEO satellites.

Polar orbit
September 2028

Current target for the first Polar launch, with the program's future contested in the FY2027 budget process.

The supplier footprint is not a one-for-one continuation

Mimir-mapped first-tier supplier sites, FY2021-FY2025

Mimir's data identifies 411 supplier sites in mapped first-tier subcontract records associated with Next Gen OPIR. Over the same period, 168 supplier sites appeared on SBIRS. Only 84 sites appeared on both programs.

That means exactly half of the recently active SBIRS supplier sites identified during the period also appear on Next Gen OPIR. But those shared sites represent only around one in five of the supplier sites identified on the new program.

Put another way, 327 of the 411 Next Gen OPIR supplier sites - around 80% - do not appear in the same-period SBIRS records.

SBIRS supplier sites168 total
84 SBIRS only
84 shared
Next Gen OPIR supplier sites411 total
84 shared
327 not visible in FY21-FY25 SBIRS

Selected facility-level positions

Visible on both programs

Selected sites appearing in both Next Gen OPIR and SBIRS records

Northrop Grumman

Azusa, California

Infrared sensing and mission-payload work

Honeywell

Clearwater, Florida

Onboard computing

General Dynamics Mission Systems

Scottsdale, Arizona

Navigation equipment

L3Harris (formerly Aerojet Rocketdyne)

Redmond, Washington

Spacecraft propulsion

Kratos

Colorado Springs, Colorado

Communications subsystem equipment

Visible on Next Gen OPIR, not FY2021-FY2025 SBIRS

Selected sites from the 327-site difference

Raytheon

El Segundo, California

GEO missile-warning sensor payloads

SEAKR Engineering

Centennial, Colorado

Payload data-processing hardware

Frequency Electronics

Uniondale, New York

Space-qualified timing and frequency equipment

Honeywell

Glendale, Arizona

Spacecraft power and electronic systems

Toray Advanced Composites

Morgan Hill, California

Space-grade composite materials

Continuity in mission, change in the visible supply chain

The result is a mixture of continuity and change. Next Gen OPIR retains many of the specialist companies that supported the existing missile-warning architecture, while expanding into a wider base of payload-processing, communications, software, electronics and advanced-material suppliers.

For companies assessing the U.S. military-space market, describing Next Gen OPIR simply as the replacement for SBIRS misses an important part of the picture. The mission continues, but the visible supplier footprint around the new architecture is materially different.

Sources and notes

Lockheed Martin Next Gen OPIR, BAE Systems Polar hardware delivery, Raytheon GEO sensor delivery, FY2027 defense budget request, House-passed defense authorization text, USAspending, FPDS and Mimir Data Platform and Modeling.

Mimir analysis of positive first-tier subcontract records, FY2021-FY2025. Supplier sites are defined as distinct CAGE codes. The comparison captures the supplier footprint visible in records during the period, not the complete historical supply chain or official program supplier totals. Site examples describe the relevant facility-level position and do not imply that all company activity is tied to the program.

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